Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.717100 5.119929 5.556230 6.066540 6.650438 7.301787 8.089142
2025-03-16 4.041938 4.588871 5.223918 6.026246 7.028422 8.260892 9.927621
2025-03-23 3.719617 4.355236 5.130108 6.165920 7.549834 9.391851 12.137420
2025-03-30 3.365715 4.022326 4.849480 5.999339 7.611824 9.889315 13.556025
2025-04-06 3.086854 3.748320 4.603387 5.830122 7.620674 10.281341 14.870839
2025-04-13 2.859642 3.517857 4.386997 5.667308 7.601296 10.606711 16.130059
2025-04-20 2.702404 3.365768 4.259722 5.610915 7.722800 11.158273 17.911993
2025-04-27 2.625956 3.315466 4.265943 5.745025 8.149864 12.281154 21.115251
2025-05-04 2.564071 3.279156 4.286315 5.898333 8.623662 13.573909 25.163079
2025-05-11 2.464590 3.182130 4.209137 5.888447 8.814824 14.372344 28.412272
2025-05-18 2.382526 3.104505 4.154070 5.906609 9.054276 15.311204 32.465144
2025-05-25 2.260286 2.961365 3.990096 5.729775 8.912872 15.424163 34.256005
2025-06-01 2.154741 2.844018 3.868315 5.630868 8.939977 15.989508 38.049930
2025-06-08 2.070078 2.754598 3.786183 5.596164 9.095435 16.912097 43.865146
2025-06-15 2.027136 2.725070 3.795602 5.721176 9.588838 18.797639 55.325918
2025-06-22 1.932162 2.610537 3.660252 5.572166 9.488271 19.131439 60.521479
2025-06-29 1.844224 2.502723 3.529557 5.420563 9.362023 19.368942 65.667111
2025-07-06 1.763929 2.403252 3.407131 5.274474 9.229346 19.560638 70.985223
2025-07-13 1.707143 2.338179 3.338273 5.223823 9.305074 20.396713 81.844586
2025-07-20 1.684919 2.326527 3.358051 5.344235 9.794383 22.697682 109.267765
2025-07-27 1.666517 2.319842 3.385443 5.481702 10.350200 25.490618 153.980017
2025-08-03 1.625168 2.274023 3.342163 5.472843 10.539987 27.070741 195.325125
2025-08-10 1.590240 2.237169 3.312474 5.489117 10.798442 29.056603 261.940084